FC Porto B host Chaves in the Segunda Liga on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estádio Luís Filipe Menezes. FC Porto B are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Chaves sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Porto B's last 4: DLWD Most recently they drew with Oliveirense 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chaves's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to União de Leiria 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chaves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for FC Porto B and 1.2 for Chaves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Porto B 35%, draw 25%, Chaves 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Porto B 1–1 Chaves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Porto B35%fair 2.90 · @2.78
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.05
Chaves41%fair 2.45 · @2.50
2.33Expected goals
1.10FC Porto B xG
1.23Chaves xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: FC Porto B 1.1 – 1.2 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chaves to win✗
41%
2.45
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chaves / FT Chaves✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Form
FC Porto B – last 4
DLWD
16 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Maritimo
1–2
L
23 Feb
vs Pacos Ferreira
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ União de Leiria
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 5
LWWWL
20 Mar
vs União de Leiria
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Sporting CP B
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Farense
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Feirense
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto B and Chaves.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Chaves?
On our numbers FC Porto B have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chaves 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto B vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto B vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is FC Porto B 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FC Porto B vs Chaves?
FC Porto B vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Luís Filipe Menezes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
