Value bet: Torreense to win @ 2.92 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorreense to win ✓41% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.31
Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Felgueiras 1932 take on Torreense on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos. Felgueiras 1932 are 15th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Torreense sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Felgueiras 1932's last 4: DLDD Most recently they drew with Farense 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torreense's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Portimonense 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torreense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.2 for Torreense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Torreense to win at 2.92 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Torreense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Felgueiras 193235%fair 2.85 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.15
Torreense41%fair 2.46 · @2.92
2.31Expected goals
1.10Felgueiras 1932 xG
1.21Torreense xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Felgueiras 1932 1.1 – 1.2 Torreense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✓
41%
2.46
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
Felgueiras 1932 – last 4
DLDD
13 Mar
@ Farense
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Vizela
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Feirense
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Penafiel
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Torreense – last 4
WWWD
16 Mar
vs Portimonense
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Oliveirense
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Benfica B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Felgueiras 1932 and Torreense.
What is the prediction for Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense?
On our numbers Felgueiras 1932 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Torreense 41%.
How many goals will there be in Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense?
Our predicted score is Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Torreense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense?
Felgueiras 1932 vs Torreense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pacos Ferreira2