Value bet: Sporting CP B to win @ 2.58 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP B to win ✗42% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Lusitânia Lourosa take on Sporting CP B on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC. Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Sporting CP B sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lusitânia Lourosa's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Farense 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sporting CP B's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Leixoes 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 1.4 for Sporting CP B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Sporting CP B to win at 2.58 – 42% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Sporting CP B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitânia Lourosa34%fair 2.92 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Sporting CP B42%fair 2.40 · @2.58
2.63Expected goals
1.23Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.39Sporting CP B xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.2 – 1.4 Sporting CP B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP B to win✗
42%
2.40
2.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 3
LWL
1 Mar
@ Farense
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Feirense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Penafiel
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting CP B – last 3
LLW
28 Feb
vs Leixoes
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Maritimo
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Portimonense
4–3
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and Sporting CP B.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting CP B 42%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Sporting CP B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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