The Segunda Liga sees Leixoes take on União de Leiria on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Mar. Leixoes are 12th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while União de Leiria sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Leixoes and 1.4 for União de Leiria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leixoes 35%, draw 25%, União de Leiria 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Leixoes 1–1 União de Leiria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leixoes35%fair 2.82 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.98
União de Leiria39%fair 2.56 · @2.60
2.68Expected goals
1.30Leixoes xG
1.38União de Leiria xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.3 – 1.4 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✓
39%
2.56
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
Leixoes – last 2
WL
28 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Vizela
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
União de Leiria – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União de Leiria 39%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Leixoes vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Mar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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