União de Leiria vs Portimonense prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
União de Leiria or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnião de Leiria to win58% · @1.78
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.23
União de Leiria vs Portimonense preview and prediction
The match
União de Leiria host Portimonense in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa. União de Leiria are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Portimonense sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for União de Leiria and 0.9 for Portimonense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: União de Leiria 58%, draw 23%, Portimonense 19%.
Safer route: União de Leiria or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was União de Leiria or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: União de Leiria 1–0 Portimonense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União de Leiria58%fair 1.72 · @1.78
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.45
Portimonense19%fair 5.14 · @4.20
2.68Expected goals
1.77União de Leiria xG
0.91Portimonense xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.8 – 0.9 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win
58%
1.72
1.78
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
União de Leiria ahead at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.23
–
Form
União de Leiria – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
Our pick is União de Leiria or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portimonense 19%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
União de Leiria vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
