Value bet: Pacos Ferreira to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorreense to win ✗46% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.45
Pacos Ferreira vs Torreense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Pacos Ferreira take on Torreense on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.4 for Torreense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Pacos Ferreira to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pacos Ferreira 1–1 Torreense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pacos Ferreira32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Torreense46%fair 2.18 · @2.08
2.45Expected goals
1.08Pacos Ferreira xG
1.38Torreense xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.1 – 1.4 Torreense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✗
46%
2.18
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.45
–
Form
Pacos Ferreira
No recent results on record.
Torreense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Torreense.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Torreense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Torreense?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torreense 46%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Torreense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Torreense?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–1 Torreense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Torreense?
Pacos Ferreira vs Torreense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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