União de Leiria vs FC Porto B prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
União de Leiria or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: União de Leiria to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✗63% · @1.88
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.38
União de Leiria vs FC Porto B preview and prediction
The match
FC Porto B travel to Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 15 February (19:00 WAT) to face União de Leiria. União de Leiria are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while FC Porto B sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for União de Leiria and 0.8 for FC Porto B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: União de Leiria 63%, draw 22%, FC Porto B 15%.
Safer route: União de Leiria or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: União de Leiria to win at 1.88 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was União de Leiria or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: União de Leiria 1–0 FC Porto B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União de Leiria63%fair 1.58 · @1.88
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
FC Porto B15%fair 6.65 · @3.95
2.61Expected goals
1.85União de Leiria xG
0.76FC Porto B xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.8 – 0.8 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
63%
1.58
1.88 ▲
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
União de Leiria ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.38
–
Form
União de Leiria
No recent results on record.
FC Porto B
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and FC Porto B.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
Our pick is União de Leiria or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Porto B 15%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
União de Leiria vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pacos Ferreira0
Maritimo3