Value bet: Granada to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGranada to win ✗46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Granada vs Madrid CFF W preview and prediction
The match
Madrid CFF W travel to Ciudad Deportiva del Granada in the Primera División Femenina on Tuesday 26 May (18:00 WAT) to face Granada. Granada are 11th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Madrid CFF W sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Granada's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Real Sociedad W 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Madrid CFF W's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Sevilla W 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Granada arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Granada and 1.3 for Madrid CFF W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Granada 46%, draw 21%, Madrid CFF W 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Granada to win at 2.35 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Granada 1–1 Madrid CFF W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Granada46%fair 2.19 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.45
Madrid CFF W34%fair 2.96 · @2.60
2.84Expected goals
1.56Granada xG
1.29Madrid CFF W xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Granada 1.6 – 1.3 Madrid CFF W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Granada to win✗
46%
2.19
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Granada / FT Granada✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Form
Granada – last 6
LDWWWW
9 May
@ Real Sociedad W
0–3
L
1 May
vs Granad. Tenerife W
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Athletic Club W
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Espanyol W
2–0
W
23 Mar
vs Deportivo de La Coruña W
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Madrid CFF W – last 6
WLLDLW
11 May
vs Sevilla W
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Real Madrid W
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Granad. Tenerife W
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Espanyol W
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Athletic Club W
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Alhama
5–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Granada and Madrid CFF W.
What is the prediction for Granada vs Madrid CFF W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Granada vs Madrid CFF W?
On our numbers Granada have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Madrid CFF W 34%.
How many goals will there be in Granada vs Madrid CFF W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Granada vs Madrid CFF W?
Our predicted score is Granada 1–1 Madrid CFF W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Granada vs Madrid CFF W?
Granada vs Madrid CFF W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alhama W2
Levante W2