Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Madrid W to win @ 1.73 – our chance 67% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Madrid W to win67% · @1.73
Double chanceAtletico Madrid W or draw86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–012% · fair 8.39
Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Femenina sees Atletico Madrid W take on Granad. Tenerife W on Tuesday 26 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares. Atletico Madrid W are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Granad. Tenerife W sit 7th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atletico Madrid W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Eibar W 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Granad. Tenerife W's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Granada 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Madrid W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Atletico Madrid W and 0.8 for Granad. Tenerife W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Madrid W 67%, draw 19%, Granad. Tenerife W 14%.
Safer route: Atletico Madrid W or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Atletico Madrid W to win at 1.73 – 67% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atletico Madrid W 2–0 Granad. Tenerife W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Madrid W67%fair 1.50 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.60
Granad. Tenerife W14%fair 6.91 · @4.20
2.87Expected goals
2.05Atletico Madrid W xG
0.82Granad. Tenerife W xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid W 2.1 – 0.8 Granad. Tenerife W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid W to win
67%
1.50
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Madrid W or draw
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Atletico Madrid W ahead at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
12%
8.39
–
Form
Atletico Madrid W – last 6
WWWWWW
3 May
vs Eibar W
4–0
W
25 Apr
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–2
W
5 Apr
vs Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Athletic Club W
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Alhama
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Edf Logrono W
5–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Granad. Tenerife W – last 6
DWDWWL
1 May
@ Granada
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Sevilla W
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Eibar W
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Madrid CFF W
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Edf Logrono W
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Real Madrid W
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Madrid W and Granad. Tenerife W.
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Granad. Tenerife W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W?
Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid W 2–0 Granad. Tenerife W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W?
Atletico Madrid W vs Granad. Tenerife W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alhama W2
Levante W2