Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolessya to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.25
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Metalist 1925 Kharkiv take on Polessya on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Tsentralnyi Stadion. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 4th with 21 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Polessya sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with LNZ Cherkasy 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Polessya's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and 1.1 for Polessya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0–1 Polessya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv34%fair 2.97 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Polessya40%fair 2.49 · @2.38
2.08Expected goals
0.98Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG
1.10Polessya xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.0 – 1.1 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polessya to win✓
40%
2.49
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polessya / FT Polessya✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.25
–
Form
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – last 6
DWDWLW
26 Apr
@ LNZ Cherkasy
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
4–0
W
4 Apr
@ Kolos Kovalivka
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs SK Poltava
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Polessya – last 6
LDWLWW
20 Apr
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Kudrivka
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Dynamo Kyiv
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ LNZ Cherkasy
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Kolos Kovalivka
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Polessya.
What is the prediction for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
On our numbers Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Polessya 40%.
How many goals will there be in Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Our predicted score is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0–1 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
