Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.49
Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview and prediction
The match
Shakhtar Donetsk travel to Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May (16:00 WAT) to face Dynamo Kyiv. Dynamo Kyiv are 3rd with 23 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Shakhtar Donetsk sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Dynamo Kyiv's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kryvbas KR 6–5 away. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Shakhtar Donetsk's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Crystal Palace 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dynamo Kyiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Dynamo Kyiv and 1.6 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dynamo Kyiv 36%, draw 23%, Shakhtar Donetsk 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo Kyiv36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Shakhtar Donetsk41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
3.02Expected goals
1.45Dynamo Kyiv xG
1.56Shakhtar Donetsk xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dynamo Kyiv 1.5 – 1.6 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.49
–
Form
Dynamo Kyiv – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Apr
@ Kryvbas KR
6–5
W
21 Apr
@ Bukovyna
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs Zorya Luhansk
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Oleksandria
5–0
W
13 Mar
vs Obolon'-Brovar
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Polessya
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
LWWDDW
30 Apr
vs Crystal Palace
1–3
L
23 Apr
@ Zorya Luhansk
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Polessya
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–2
D
13 Apr
@ LNZ Cherkasy
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs AZ Alkmaar
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo Kyiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.
What is the prediction for Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
On our numbers Dynamo Kyiv have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shakhtar Donetsk 41%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our predicted score is Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
