Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP to win ✓68% · @1.29
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Sporting CP vs Famalicao preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Sporting CP take on Famalicao on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estádio José Alvalade. Sporting CP are 3rd with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Famalicao sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Sporting CP and 0.8 for Famalicao. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sporting CP 2–0 Famalicao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP68%fair 1.47 · @1.29
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @5.00
Famalicao15%fair 6.63 · @10.75
2.82Expected goals
2.03Sporting CP xG
0.79Famalicao xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.0 – 0.8 Famalicao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
68%
1.47
1.29
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Sporting CP
No recent results on record.
Famalicao
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Famalicao.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Famalicao 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Famalicao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Famalicao?
Sporting CP vs Famalicao (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AVS3