Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAberystwyth Town to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) preview and prediction
The match
Aberystwyth Town host Caerau (Ely) in the FAW Championship on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Park Avenue. Aberystwyth Town are 2nd with 25 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Caerau (Ely) sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Aberystwyth Town and 1.4 for Caerau (Ely). That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aberystwyth Town 40%, draw 24%, Caerau (Ely) 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Aberystwyth Town 1–1 Caerau (Ely). Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aberystwyth Town40%fair 2.50 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Caerau (Ely)36%fair 2.78 · @2.50
2.84Expected goals
1.46Aberystwyth Town xG
1.38Caerau (Ely) xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Aberystwyth Town 1.5 – 1.4 Caerau (Ely) expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberystwyth Town to win✗
40%
2.50
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Aberystwyth Town – last 1
L
24 Feb
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Caerau (Ely) – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Carmarthen Town
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Cambrian & Clydach
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberystwyth Town and Caerau (Ely).
What is the prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
On our numbers Aberystwyth Town have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caerau (Ely) 36%.
How many goals will there be in Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Our predicted score is Aberystwyth Town 1–1 Caerau (Ely), the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) (FAW Championship) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Park Avenue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rhyl3
Ruthin Town2
Ammanford AFC1
Cambrian & Clydach4