Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Pontypridd Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Pontypridd Town take on Baglan Dragons on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at USW Sports Park. Pontypridd Town are 1st with 27 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Baglan Dragons sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Pontypridd Town and 0.9 for Baglan Dragons. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pontypridd Town 58%, draw 20%, Baglan Dragons 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pontypridd Town to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Pontypridd Town 1–0 Baglan Dragons. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pontypridd Town58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.30
Baglan Dragons21%fair 4.67 · @4.00
2.72Expected goals
1.78Pontypridd Town xG
0.94Baglan Dragons xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 1.8 – 0.9 Baglan Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Pontypridd Town ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.55
–
Form
Pontypridd Town
No recent results on record.
Baglan Dragons – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Trefelin
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and Baglan Dragons.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Our pick is Pontypridd Town to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baglan Dragons 21%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 1–0 Baglan Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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