Value bet: Konyaspor to win @ 3.15 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamsunspor to win ✗40% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor preview and prediction
The match
Konyaspor travel to Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Sunday 5 April (12:30 WAT) to face Samsunspor. Samsunspor are 17th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Konyaspor sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Samsunspor's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Konyaspor's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Samsunspor and 1.2 for Konyaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Konyaspor to win at 3.15 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Samsunspor 1–1 Konyaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samsunspor40%fair 2.52 · @2.24
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Konyaspor36%fair 2.75 · @3.15
2.44Expected goals
1.25Samsunspor xG
1.18Konyaspor xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.3 – 1.2 Konyaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✗
40%
2.52
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samsunspor / FT Samsunspor✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.13
–
Form
Samsunspor – last 6
WWLLWD
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kayserispor
2–1
W
12 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Fenerbahçe
2–3
L
5 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Konyaspor – last 5
WWDWL
19 Mar
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Kocaelispor
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kasımpaşa
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Konyaspor.
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Konyaspor 36%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–1 Konyaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük2
Antalyaspor3