Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Beşiktaş to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✓44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş preview and prediction
The match
Beşiktaş travel to Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu in the Süper Lig on Sunday 5 April (18:00 WAT) to face Fenerbahçe. Fenerbahçe are 6th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Beşiktaş sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fenerbahçe's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Gaziantep FK 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Beşiktaş's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kasımpaşa 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beşiktaş arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Fenerbahçe and 1.4 for Beşiktaş. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenerbahçe 44%, draw 20%, Beşiktaş 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Beşiktaş to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fenerbahçe 1–1 Beşiktaş. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenerbahçe44%fair 2.27 · @1.98
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Beşiktaş36%fair 2.81 · @3.50
3.09Expected goals
1.64Fenerbahçe xG
1.45Beşiktaş xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 1.6 – 1.4 Beşiktaş expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win✓
44%
2.27
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenerbahçe / FT Fenerbahçe✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Fenerbahçe – last 6
WLWWDW
17 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
4–1
W
13 Mar
@ Fatih Karagümrük
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Samsunspor
3–2
W
4 Mar
@ Gaziantep FK
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Beşiktaş – last 5
WWWWW
19 Mar
vs Kasımpaşa
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rizespor
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Göztepe
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Başakşehir
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Beşiktaş 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 1–1 Beşiktaş, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük2
Antalyaspor3