Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVerl to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
SSV Ulm 1846 vs Verl preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees SSV Ulm 1846 take on Verl on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Donaustadion.
Form guide
SSV Ulm 1846's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to FC Ingolstadt 04 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Verl's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat FC Schweinfurt 05 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Verl arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for SSV Ulm 1846 and 2.3 for Verl. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Verl to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SSV Ulm 1846 1–2 Verl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SSV Ulm 184619%fair 5.15 · @4.00
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @4.10
Verl65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
3.39Expected goals
1.12SSV Ulm 1846 xG
2.27Verl xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: SSV Ulm 1846 1.1 – 2.3 Verl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Verl to win✗
65%
1.54
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Half-time result
Verl ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Verl / FT Verl✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
SSV Ulm 1846 – last 4
LLDL
15 Mar
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Hoffenheim II
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs FC Saarbrücken
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Alemannia Aachen
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Verl – last 4
WWLL
15 Mar
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Alemannia Aachen
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SSV Ulm 1846 and Verl.
Our pick is Verl to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs Verl?
On our numbers SSV Ulm 1846 have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Verl 65%.
How many goals will there be in SSV Ulm 1846 vs Verl?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SSV Ulm 1846 vs Verl?
Our predicted score is SSV Ulm 1846 1–2 Verl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is SSV Ulm 1846 vs Verl?
SSV Ulm 1846 vs Verl (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Donaustadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
