FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
FC Saarbrücken or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FC Saarbrücken to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Saarbrücken to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Saarbrücken or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees FC Saarbrücken take on FC Ingolstadt 04 on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Ludwigspark Stadion. FC Saarbrücken are 6th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Saarbrücken's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to MSV Duisburg 2–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Ingolstadt 04's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat SSV Ulm 1846 3–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for FC Saarbrücken and 1.1 for FC Ingolstadt 04. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Saarbrücken 58%, draw 23%, FC Ingolstadt 04 19%.
Safer route: FC Saarbrücken or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Value angle: FC Saarbrücken to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Saarbrücken or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Saarbrücken 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Saarbrücken58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.70
FC Ingolstadt 0419%fair 5.14 · @3.50
3.05Expected goals
1.98FC Saarbrücken xG
1.07FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC Saarbrücken 2.0 – 1.1 FC Ingolstadt 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Saarbrücken to win✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
FC Saarbrücken or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Half-time result
FC Saarbrücken ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Saarbrücken / FT FC Saarbrücken✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
FC Saarbrücken – last 4
LWDD
8 Mar
@ MSV Duisburg
2–4
L
4 Mar
vs SV Wehen
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ SSV Ulm 1846
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 5
WLDWD
15 Mar
@ SSV Ulm 1846
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Verl
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs MSV Duisburg
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Havelse
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Saarbrücken and FC Ingolstadt 04.
What is the prediction for FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our pick is FC Saarbrücken or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
On our numbers FC Saarbrücken have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Ingolstadt 04 19%.
How many goals will there be in FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our predicted score is FC Saarbrücken 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ludwigspark Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SSV Ulm 18461