Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVerl to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.80
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees FC Ingolstadt 04 take on Verl on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Audi Sportpark. FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Verl sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Ingolstadt 04's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with MSV Duisburg 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.7 for Verl. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Ingolstadt 04 37%, draw 21%, Verl 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.38.
Value angle: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2 Verl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Ingolstadt 0437%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.85
Verl42%fair 2.41 · @2.15
3.36Expected goals
1.63FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.73Verl xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.6 – 1.7 Verl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Verl to win✓
42%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Verl / FT Verl✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.80
–
Form
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 3
DWD
4 Mar
vs MSV Duisburg
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Havelse
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Verl – last 2
LL
3 Mar
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Alemannia Aachen
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Verl.
What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Verl 42%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2 Verl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
