MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees MSV Duisburg take on FC Saarbrücken on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena. MSV Duisburg are 2nd with 29 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Saarbrücken sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
MSV Duisburg's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
FC Saarbrücken's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat SV Wehen 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for MSV Duisburg and 1.3 for FC Saarbrücken. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 22%, FC Saarbrücken 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Saarbrücken. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MSV Duisburg45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.35
FC Saarbrücken33%fair 2.99 · @3.00
2.76Expected goals
1.50MSV Duisburg xG
1.25FC Saarbrücken xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 1.5 – 1.3 FC Saarbrücken expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✓
45%
2.23
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
MSV Duisburg – last 3
DDW
4 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Havelse
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Saarbrücken – last 3
WDD
4 Mar
vs SV Wehen
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ SSV Ulm 1846
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and FC Saarbrücken.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Saarbrücken 33%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Saarbrücken, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken?
MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
