Value bet: Victoria Rosport to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwift Hesperange to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.62
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport preview and prediction
The match
The National Division sees Swift Hesperange take on Victoria Rosport on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade Alphonse Theis. Swift Hesperange are 16th with 0 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Victoria Rosport sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Swift Hesperange's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to US Hostert 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Victoria Rosport's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat US Mondorf-les-bains 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Victoria Rosport arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Swift Hesperange and 1.2 for Victoria Rosport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swift Hesperange 42%, draw 23%, Victoria Rosport 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Victoria Rosport to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Swift Hesperange 1–1 Victoria Rosport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swift Hesperange42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.35
Victoria Rosport35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.35Swift Hesperange xG
1.21Victoria Rosport xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Swift Hesperange 1.3 – 1.2 Victoria Rosport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swift Hesperange to win✓
42%
2.39
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swift Hesperange / FT Swift Hesperange✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.62
–
Form
Swift Hesperange – last 6
LLLLWD
10 May
vs US Hostert
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Rodange 91
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Mamer
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Atert Bissen
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs UN Kaerjeng 97
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Progres Niederkorn
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Victoria Rosport – last 6
WWLLWW
10 May
vs US Mondorf-les-bains
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Feulen
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ FC Differdange 03
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3–4
L
15 Mar
@ Mamer
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Atert Bissen
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swift Hesperange and Victoria Rosport.
What is the prediction for Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?
On our numbers Swift Hesperange have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Victoria Rosport 35%.
How many goals will there be in Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?
Our predicted score is Swift Hesperange 1–1 Victoria Rosport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Alphonse Theis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jeunesse Canach0
Union Titus Petange0
Rodange 911
Mamer1