Value bet: US Mondorf-les-bains to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✗87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains preview and prediction
The match
The National Division sees Victoria Rosport take on US Mondorf-les-bains on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Party-Rent-Arena. Victoria Rosport are 12th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while US Mondorf-les-bains sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Victoria Rosport's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Feulen 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
US Mondorf-les-bains's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with F91 Dudelange 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Victoria Rosport and 1.9 for US Mondorf-les-bains. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Victoria Rosport 13%, draw 23%, US Mondorf-les-bains 64%.
Safer route: US Mondorf-les-bains or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: US Mondorf-les-bains to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Victoria Rosport 0–2 US Mondorf-les-bains. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Victoria Rosport13%fair 7.96 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.80
US Mondorf-les-bains64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
2.69Expected goals
0.75Victoria Rosport xG
1.93US Mondorf-les-bains xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Victoria Rosport 0.8 – 1.9 US Mondorf-les-bains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Mondorf-les-bains to win✗
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Double chance
US Mondorf-les-bains or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
US Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
Victoria Rosport – last 6
WLLWWW
22 Apr
@ Feulen
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ FC Differdange 03
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3–4
L
15 Mar
@ Mamer
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Atert Bissen
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Mamer
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6
DWLLWW
19 Apr
@ F91 Dudelange
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Jeunesse Canach
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1–3
L
4 Mar
@ Atert Bissen
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Atert Bissen
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ UN Kaerjeng 97
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria Rosport and US Mondorf-les-bains.
What is the prediction for Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
On our numbers Victoria Rosport have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and US Mondorf-les-bains 64%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our predicted score is Victoria Rosport 0–2 US Mondorf-les-bains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Party-Rent-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodange 912
Mamer3
Jeunesse Canach0
Union Titus Petange3