Value bet: Swift Hesperange to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwift Hesperange to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert preview and prediction
The match
Swift Hesperange host US Hostert in the National Division on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade Alphonse Theis. Swift Hesperange are 16th with 0 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while US Hostert sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Swift Hesperange's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Rodange 91 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
US Hostert's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Atert Bissen 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Swift Hesperange and 1.4 for US Hostert. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swift Hesperange 39%, draw 22%, US Hostert 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Swift Hesperange to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Swift Hesperange 1–1 US Hostert. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swift Hesperange39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
US Hostert39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
2.86Expected goals
1.43Swift Hesperange xG
1.42US Hostert xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Swift Hesperange 1.4 – 1.4 US Hostert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swift Hesperange to win✗
39%
2.57
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swift Hesperange / FT Swift Hesperange✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Form
Swift Hesperange – last 5
LLLWD
22 Mar
@ Rodange 91
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Mamer
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Atert Bissen
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs UN Kaerjeng 97
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Progres Niederkorn
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
US Hostert – last 6
LWLLLW
19 Apr
vs Atert Bissen
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ AS Jeunesse Esch
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Progres Niederkorn
1–5
L
8 Mar
@ FC Differdange 03
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Fola Esch
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UNA Strassen
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swift Hesperange and US Hostert.
What is the prediction for Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
On our numbers Swift Hesperange have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and US Hostert 39%.
How many goals will there be in Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
Our predicted score is Swift Hesperange 1–1 US Hostert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Alphonse Theis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodange 912
Mamer3
Jeunesse Canach0
Union Titus Petange3