Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 preview and prediction
The match
UN Kaerjeng 97 travel to Stade Jos Haupert in the National Division on Sunday 22 March (16:00 WAT) to face Progres Niederkorn. Progres Niederkorn are 6th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while UN Kaerjeng 97 sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Progres Niederkorn's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat US Hostert 5–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
UN Kaerjeng 97's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat UNA Strassen 1–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Progres Niederkorn and 1.0 for UN Kaerjeng 97. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Progres Niederkorn 1–1 UN Kaerjeng 97. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progres Niederkorn58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
UN Kaerjeng 9722%fair 4.60 · @3.95
2.92Expected goals
1.88Progres Niederkorn xG
1.04UN Kaerjeng 97 xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 1.9 – 1.0 UN Kaerjeng 97 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progres Niederkorn to win✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Half-time result
Progres Niederkorn ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.87
–
Form
Progres Niederkorn – last 6
WLWWLD
15 Mar
@ US Hostert
5–1
W
8 Mar
@ UNA Strassen
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Wiltz
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Union Titus Petange
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Victoria Rosport
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Swift Hesperange
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UN Kaerjeng 97 – last 5
WWWLL
15 Mar
vs UNA Strassen
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Union Titus Petange
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Victoria Rosport
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Swift Hesperange
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs US Mondorf-les-bains
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progres Niederkorn and UN Kaerjeng 97.
What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UN Kaerjeng 97 22%.
How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 1–1 UN Kaerjeng 97, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jos Haupert.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodange 912
Jeunesse Canach1
Union Titus Petange1
Mamer2