Value bet: FC Differdange 03 to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Differdange 03 to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57
F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03 preview and prediction
The match
FC Differdange 03 travel to Stade Jos Nosbaum in the National Division on Sunday 22 March (16:00 WAT) to face F91 Dudelange. F91 Dudelange are 9th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while FC Differdange 03 sit 2nd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
F91 Dudelange's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Jeunesse Canach 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
FC Differdange 03's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with AS Jeunesse Esch 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for F91 Dudelange and 1.7 for FC Differdange 03. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: FC Differdange 03 to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: F91 Dudelange 1–1 FC Differdange 03. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
F91 Dudelange29%fair 3.39 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
FC Differdange 0350%fair 2.02 · @2.15
2.97Expected goals
1.25F91 Dudelange xG
1.71FC Differdange 03 xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: F91 Dudelange 1.3 – 1.7 FC Differdange 03 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Differdange 03 to win✗
50%
2.02
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Differdange 03 / FT FC Differdange 03✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
F91 Dudelange – last 5
WWWLL
15 Mar
@ Jeunesse Canach
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Rodange 91
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Mamer
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Atert Bissen
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
FC Differdange 03 – last 4
DWDW
15 Mar
vs AS Jeunesse Esch
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs US Hostert
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs UNA Strassen
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Rodange 91
6–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between F91 Dudelange and FC Differdange 03.
What is the prediction for F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03?
On our numbers F91 Dudelange have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Differdange 03 50%.
How many goals will there be in F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03?
Our predicted score is F91 Dudelange 1–1 FC Differdange 03, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03?
F91 Dudelange vs FC Differdange 03 (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jos Nosbaum.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.