Value bet: Sesvete to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSesvete to win ✓45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Sesvete vs Dugopolje preview and prediction
The match
Sesvete host Dugopolje in the First NL on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 12:45 (WAT) at Stadion sv. Josip Radnik. Sesvete are 10th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Dugopolje sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Dugopolje's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Opatija 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Sesvete and 0.7 for Dugopolje. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Value angle: Sesvete to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Sesvete 1–0 Dugopolje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sesvete45%fair 2.22 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.62
Dugopolje30%fair 3.34 · @2.80
1.75Expected goals
1.01Sesvete xG
0.74Dugopolje xG
50%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sesvete 1.0 – 0.7 Dugopolje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sesvete to win✓
45%
2.22
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Form
Sesvete – last 2
WW
3 Mar
vs Dubrava Zagreb
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Karlovac 1919
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dugopolje – last 3
DLW
28 Feb
vs Opatija
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Rudes
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sesvete and Dugopolje.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
On our numbers Sesvete have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dugopolje 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
Our predicted score is Sesvete 1–0 Dugopolje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
Sesvete vs Dugopolje (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion sv. Josip Radnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rudes0
Jarun0