Value bet: Croatia Zmijavci to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultJarun to win43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.13
Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci preview and prediction
The match
The First NL sees Jarun take on Croatia Zmijavci on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun.
Form guide
Croatia Zmijavci's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Rudes 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Jarun and 1.0 for Croatia Zmijavci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Croatia Zmijavci to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jarun 1–1 Croatia Zmijavci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jarun43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.80
Croatia Zmijavci33%fair 3.02 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.25Jarun xG
1.05Croatia Zmijavci xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Jarun 1.3 – 1.0 Croatia Zmijavci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarun to win
43%
2.31
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarun / FT Jarun
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.13
–
Form
Jarun – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ HNK Cibalia
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Croatia Zmijavci – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Rudes
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Orijent 1919
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Hrvace
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarun and Croatia Zmijavci.
What is the prediction for Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
On our numbers Jarun have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Croatia Zmijavci 33%.
How many goals will there be in Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Our predicted score is Jarun 1–1 Croatia Zmijavci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rudes0