Eibar host AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. Eibar are 4th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top four), while AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Eibar's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Real Sociedad II 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Burgos 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Eibar and 0.8 for AD Ceuta FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eibar 59%, draw 23%, AD Ceuta FC 17%.
Safer route: Eibar or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Eibar 1–0 AD Ceuta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eibar59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
AD Ceuta FC17%fair 5.80 · @5.30
2.46Expected goals
1.68Eibar xG
0.77AD Ceuta FC xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Eibar 1.7 – 0.8 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar to win✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Double chance
Eibar or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar / FT Eibar✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.94
–
Form
Eibar – last 6
WWDWLW
2 Apr
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Las Palmas
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Burgos
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leganes
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Racing Santander
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
DWLWWW
1 Apr
@ Burgos
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Cadiz
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Las Palmas
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs Granada CF
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar and AD Ceuta FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Eibar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AD Ceuta FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Eibar 1–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?
Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huesca1
Zaragoza1
Mirandes2