Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Racing Santander or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Racing Santander to win @ 1.95 – our chance 65% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Santander to win ✓65% · @1.95
Double chanceRacing Santander or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction
The match
Racing Santander host Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División on Wednesday 1 April, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Sardinero.
Form guide
Racing Santander's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Zaragoza 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sporting Gijon's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to FC Andorra 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Racing Santander arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Racing Santander and 0.8 for Sporting Gijon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Santander 65%, draw 21%, Sporting Gijon 15%.
Safer route: Racing Santander or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Racing Santander to win at 1.95 – 65% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Racing Santander or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Racing Santander 2–0 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Santander65%fair 1.54 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Sporting Gijon15%fair 6.86 · @3.70
2.88Expected goals
2.03Racing Santander xG
0.85Sporting Gijon xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Racing Santander 2.0 – 0.8 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Santander to win✓
65%
1.54
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Racing Santander or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Half-time result
Racing Santander ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Santander / FT Racing Santander✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.63
–
Form
Racing Santander – last 4
LWWL
29 Mar
@ Zaragoza
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Cordoba
4–3
W
22 Feb
vs Burgos
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Eibar
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 4
LDDD
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Racing Santander or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Gijon 15%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander 2–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon?
Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sardinero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huesca1
Cultural Leonesa1