Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmeria to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.00
Almeria vs Real Sociedad II preview and prediction
The match
Real Sociedad II travel to UD Almería Stadium in the Segunda División on Sunday 29 March (20:00 WAT) to face Almeria. Almeria are 1st with 29 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Real Sociedad II sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Almeria's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Huesca 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Real Sociedad II's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Granada CF 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almeria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Almeria and 1.0 for Real Sociedad II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almeria 60%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad II 17%.
Safer route: Almeria or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Almeria 2–0 Real Sociedad II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almeria60%fair 1.65 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Real Sociedad II17%fair 6.02 · @5.30
3.04Expected goals
2.04Almeria xG
1.00Real Sociedad II xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Almeria 2.0 – 1.0 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Double chance
Almeria or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Half-time result
Almeria ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.00
–
Form
Almeria – last 4
WWDW
20 Mar
@ Huesca
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs FC Andorra
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad II – last 6
LWWLWW
22 Mar
vs Granada CF
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Crystal Palace U21
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Cadiz
2–0
W
16 Feb
vs Malaga
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almeria and Real Sociedad II.
What is the prediction for Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Almeria have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Sociedad II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is Almeria 2–0 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?
Almeria vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at UD Almería Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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