Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEibar to win ✓39% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Eibar vs Las Palmas preview and prediction
The match
Eibar host Las Palmas in the Segunda División on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. Eibar are 4th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Las Palmas sit 10th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Eibar's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Burgos 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Las Palmas's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to Albacete 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Eibar and 1.0 for Las Palmas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eibar 39%, draw 25%, Las Palmas 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Eibar 1–1 Las Palmas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eibar39%fair 2.56 · @2.44
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Las Palmas36%fair 2.80 · @2.98
2.09Expected goals
1.08Eibar xG
1.01Las Palmas xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Eibar 1.1 – 1.0 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar to win✓
39%
2.56
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
Eibar – last 4
DWLW
15 Mar
vs Burgos
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leganes
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Racing Santander
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 4
LWWD
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar and Las Palmas.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Eibar vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Eibar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Las Palmas 36%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Eibar 1–1 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Eibar vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zaragoza2
Racing Santander0