Value bet: Valladolid to win @ 2.52 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValladolid to win ✗45% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Mirandes vs Valladolid preview and prediction
The match
Valladolid travel to Estadio Municipal de Anduva in the Segunda División on Sunday 22 March (16:15 WAT) to face Mirandes.
Form guide
Mirandes's last 4: LLWD Most recently they lost to Cadiz 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Mirandes and 1.4 for Valladolid. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Valladolid to win at 2.52 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mirandes 1–1 Valladolid. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirandes33%fair 3.01 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Valladolid45%fair 2.25 · @2.52
2.52Expected goals
1.14Mirandes xG
1.38Valladolid xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Mirandes 1.1 – 1.4 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✗
45%
2.25
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.02
–
Form
Mirandes – last 4
LLWD
13 Mar
vs Cadiz
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Huesca
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Las Palmas
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Valladolid – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Sporting Gijon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirandes and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for Mirandes vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirandes vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Mirandes have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valladolid 45%.
How many goals will there be in Mirandes vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirandes vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is Mirandes 1–1 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mirandes vs Valladolid?
Mirandes vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
