Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Las Palmas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLas Palmas to win57% · @1.84
Double chanceLas Palmas or draw82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.77
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Gijon travel to Estadio de Gran Canaria in the Segunda División on Sunday 22 March (18:30 WAT) to face Las Palmas. Las Palmas are 10th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Sporting Gijon sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Las Palmas's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to Albacete 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Gijon's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to FC Andorra 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Las Palmas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Las Palmas and 0.8 for Sporting Gijon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Palmas 57%, draw 25%, Sporting Gijon 18%.
Safer route: Las Palmas or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 54% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Las Palmas or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Las Palmas 1–0 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Palmas57%fair 1.75 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Sporting Gijon18%fair 5.51 · @4.33
2.39Expected goals
1.61Las Palmas xG
0.78Sporting Gijon xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.6 – 0.8 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win
57%
1.75
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Las Palmas or draw
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.77
–
Form
Las Palmas – last 4
LWWD
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 4
LDDD
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Las Palmas or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting Gijon 18%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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