Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Eibar to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeganes to win ✗40% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Leganes vs Eibar preview and prediction
The match
Leganes host Eibar in the Segunda División on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Leganes are 18th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Eibar sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Leganes and 1.0 for Eibar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leganes 40%, draw 26%, Eibar 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Eibar to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Leganes 1–1 Eibar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leganes40%fair 2.50 · @2.36
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Eibar34%fair 2.91 · @3.15
2.17Expected goals
1.14Leganes xG
1.03Eibar xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.1 – 1.0 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leganes to win✗
40%
2.50
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leganes / FT Leganes✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Leganes – last 2
DD
2 Mar
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Eibar – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Racing Santander
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Eibar.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Leganes vs Eibar?
On our numbers Leganes have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Eibar 34%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Eibar?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Eibar?
Our predicted score is Leganes 1–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leganes vs Eibar?
Leganes vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Racing Santander4
Deportivo La Coruna0