Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsasuna to win49% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.65
Osasuna vs Sevilla preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Osasuna take on Sevilla on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna are 16th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Sevilla sit 6th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Osasuna's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Athletic Club 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Sevilla's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Levante 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Osasuna and 1.1 for Sevilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Osasuna 49%, draw 22%, Sevilla 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Sevilla to win at 3.80 – 29% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Osasuna 1–1 Sevilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Osasuna49%fair 2.04 · @1.98
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Sevilla29%fair 3.42 · @3.80
2.56Expected goals
1.49Osasuna xG
1.07Sevilla xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Osasuna 1.5 – 1.1 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasuna to win
49%
2.04
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.65
–
Form
Osasuna – last 5
LDDLD
21 Apr
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Alaves
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Valencia
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Elche
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
LLLDDW
23 Apr
@ Levante
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Oviedo
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
8 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Getafe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osasuna and Sevilla.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Osasuna vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sevilla 29%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Sevilla?
Osasuna vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oviedo0