Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceVillarreal or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Villarreal vs Valencia preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Villarreal take on Valencia on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio de la Ceramica. Villarreal are 8th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Valencia sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Villarreal and 0.8 for Valencia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Villarreal to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Villarreal 2–0 Valencia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.80
Valencia13%fair 7.55 · @4.65
2.75Expected goals
2.00Villarreal xG
0.75Valencia xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Villarreal 2.0 – 0.8 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✓
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Villarreal or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Villarreal ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Villarreal – last 1
W
18 Feb
@ Levante
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Levante
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Valencia.
What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Valencia?
Our pick is Villarreal to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Villarreal vs Valencia?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valencia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 2–0 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Valencia?
Villarreal vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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