Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceCelta Vigo or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Celta Vigo vs Mallorca preview and prediction
The match
Mallorca travel to Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in the La Liga on Sunday 22 February (18:30 WAT) to face Celta Vigo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Celta Vigo and 0.8 for Mallorca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celta Vigo 59%, draw 25%, Mallorca 16%.
Safer route: Celta Vigo or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Celta Vigo to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celta Vigo or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Celta Vigo 1–0 Mallorca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celta Vigo59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Mallorca16%fair 6.20 · @4.40
2.54Expected goals
1.74Celta Vigo xG
0.80Mallorca xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.7 – 0.8 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Celta Vigo ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.28
–
Form
Celta Vigo – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ PAOK
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Mallorca.
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mallorca 16%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–0 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
Celta Vigo vs Mallorca (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
