Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz preview and prediction
The match
Wolfsberger AC host Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Lavanttal-Arena. Wolfsberger AC are 12th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Sturm Graz sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Wolfsberger AC and 1.3 for Sturm Graz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wolfsberger AC 40%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Wolfsberger AC 1–1 Sturm Graz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wolfsberger AC40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Sturm Graz36%fair 2.77 · @2.75
2.67Expected goals
1.37Wolfsberger AC xG
1.30Sturm Graz xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Wolfsberger AC 1.4 – 1.3 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wolfsberger AC to win✗
40%
2.52
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wolfsberger AC / FT Wolfsberger AC✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Wolfsberger AC – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Rapid Vienna
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ FC BW Linz
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs FC BW Linz
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Wolfsberger AC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sturm Graz 36%.
How many goals will there be in Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Wolfsberger AC 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Lavanttal-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC BW Linz2