Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Grazer AK to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRied to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Grazer AK vs Ried preview and prediction
The match
Ried travel to Merkur-Arena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 March (17:00 WAT) to face Grazer AK. Grazer AK are 10th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Ried sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Grazer AK and 1.3 for Ried. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grazer AK 35%, draw 24%, Ried 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Grazer AK to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Grazer AK 1–1 Ried. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grazer AK35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Ried40%fair 2.47 · @2.30
2.43Expected goals
1.16Grazer AK xG
1.27Ried xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.2 – 1.3 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ried to win✗
40%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ried / FT Ried✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
Grazer AK – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ TSV Hartberg
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ried – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ WSG Wattens
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grazer AK and Ried.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Ried?
On our numbers Grazer AK have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ried 40%.
How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs Ried?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs Ried?
Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Grazer AK vs Ried?
Grazer AK vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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