Value bet: Montpellier to win @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontpellier to win ✓53% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Amiens vs Montpellier preview and prediction
The match
Amiens host Montpellier in the Ligue 2 on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade de la Licorne.
Form guide
Amiens's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Rodez 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Montpellier's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Grenoble 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montpellier arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.0 for Amiens and 1.6 for Montpellier. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Montpellier to win at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Amiens 1–1 Montpellier. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amiens27%fair 3.74 · @3.35
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Montpellier53%fair 1.88 · @2.00
2.66Expected goals
1.04Amiens xG
1.62Montpellier xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.0 – 1.6 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✓
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
Amiens – last 6
LLDLLL
17 Apr
@ Rodez
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs PAU
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Bastia
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Le Mans
3–4
L
13 Mar
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Boulogne
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Montpellier – last 6
WDDDWW
17 Apr
vs Grenoble
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Annecy
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Estac Troyes
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ PAU
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Laval
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Nancy
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Montpellier.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amiens vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Amiens have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Montpellier 53%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Montpellier?
Amiens vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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