Value bet: Bastia to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBastia to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Clermont Foot vs Bastia preview and prediction
The match
Clermont Foot host Bastia in the Ligue 2 on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
Form guide
Clermont Foot's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Le Mans 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bastia's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Amiens 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Clermont Foot and 1.2 for Bastia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Bastia to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Clermont Foot 1–1 Bastia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Clermont Foot36%fair 2.78 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Bastia40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.33Expected goals
1.12Clermont Foot xG
1.21Bastia xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Clermont Foot 1.1 – 1.2 Bastia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✗
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Clermont Foot – last 6
LDDLLW
17 Apr
@ Le Mans
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs Nancy
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Grenoble
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs PAU
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Dunkerque
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bastia – last 6
DDLDLD
3 Apr
vs Amiens
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Rodez
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Boulogne
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ PAU
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Annecy
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Clermont Foot and Bastia.
What is the prediction for Clermont Foot vs Bastia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Clermont Foot vs Bastia?
On our numbers Clermont Foot have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bastia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Clermont Foot vs Bastia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Clermont Foot vs Bastia?
Our predicted score is Clermont Foot 1–1 Bastia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Clermont Foot vs Bastia?
Clermont Foot vs Bastia (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amiens0