Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.06
Nancy vs Saint Etienne preview and prediction
The match
Nancy host Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Marcel Picot. Nancy are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Saint Etienne sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nancy's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Boulogne 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Nancy and 1.7 for Saint Etienne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nancy 22%, draw 20%, Saint Etienne 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Saint Etienne to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Nancy 1–1 Saint Etienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nancy22%fair 4.58 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.40
Saint Etienne58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
2.63Expected goals
0.91Nancy xG
1.72Saint Etienne xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Nancy 0.9 – 1.7 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.06
–
Form
Nancy – last 6
DLLDDL
20 Mar
@ Boulogne
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Le Mans
2–4
L
6 Mar
vs Montpellier
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ Laval
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Grenoble
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ RED Star FC 93
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nancy and Saint Etienne.
What is the prediction for Nancy vs Saint Etienne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Nancy vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Nancy have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Saint Etienne 58%.
How many goals will there be in Nancy vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Nancy 1–1 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nancy vs Saint Etienne?
Nancy vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Picot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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