The Ligue 2 sees Rodez take on Montpellier on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade Paul-Lignon. Rodez are 13th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Montpellier sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Rodez and 1.4 for Montpellier. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Rodez 1–1 Montpellier. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodez35%fair 2.86 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Montpellier42%fair 2.38 · @2.35
2.55Expected goals
1.20Rodez xG
1.35Montpellier xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rodez 1.2 – 1.4 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
42%
2.38
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.51
–
Form
Rodez – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Clermont Foot
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Montpellier
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodez and Montpellier.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Rodez have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montpellier 42%.
How many goals will there be in Rodez vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodez vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Rodez 1–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rodez vs Montpellier?
Rodez vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Paul-Lignon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.