1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: 1. FC Nürnberg to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Nürnberg to win58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.29
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees 1. FC Nürnberg take on FC Schalke 04 on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
Form guide
1. FC Nürnberg's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Schalke 04's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat SC Paderborn 07 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FC Schalke 04 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.0 for FC Schalke 04. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 1. FC Nürnberg 58%, draw 18%, FC Schalke 04 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Value angle: 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 FC Schalke 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
1. FC Nürnberg58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @3.75
FC Schalke 0425%fair 4.04 · @3.60
2.80Expected goals
1.771. FC Nürnberg xG
1.03FC Schalke 04 xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: 1. FC Nürnberg 1.8 – 1.0 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Nürnberg to win
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Nürnberg / FT 1. FC Nürnberg
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.29
–
Form
1. FC Nürnberg – last 6
DWDLLD
3 May
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Hertha BSC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ VfL Bochum
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
WWWWDW
26 Apr
@ SC Paderborn 07
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Preußen Münster
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Hannover 96
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Arminia Bielefeld
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Nürnberg and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers 1. FC Nürnberg have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Schalke 04 25%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04?
1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Schalke 04 (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
