Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Holstein Kiel to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Magdeburg to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg preview and prediction
The match
1. FC Magdeburg travel to Holstein-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 9 May (12:00 WAT) to face Holstein Kiel. Holstein Kiel are 18th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while 1. FC Magdeburg sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holstein Kiel's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
1. FC Magdeburg's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Hertha BSC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Holstein Kiel and 1.6 for 1. FC Magdeburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 68%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holstein Kiel 37%, draw 21%, 1. FC Magdeburg 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Holstein Kiel to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Holstein Kiel 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holstein Kiel37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.95
1. FC Magdeburg43%fair 2.35 · @2.10
3.16Expected goals
1.51Holstein Kiel xG
1.651. FC Magdeburg xG
68%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.5 – 1.6 1. FC Magdeburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Magdeburg to win✓
43%
2.35
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Magdeburg / FT 1. FC Magdeburg✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Holstein Kiel – last 6
WWWDWL
2 May
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
W
10 Apr
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Preußen Münster
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ VfL Bochum
3–2
W
7 Mar
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
1. FC Magdeburg – last 6
WLLWWD
3 May
vs Hertha BSC
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ SC Paderborn 07
3–4
L
4 Apr
vs VfL Bochum
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Preußen Münster
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs SV Darmstadt 98
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Magdeburg.
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 1. FC Magdeburg 43%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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