1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Magdeburg to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC preview and prediction
The match
1. FC Magdeburg host Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Avnet Arena. 1. FC Magdeburg are 4th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Hertha BSC sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table).
Form guide
1. FC Magdeburg's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hertha BSC's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Hertha BSC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.5 for Hertha BSC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hertha BSC to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: 1. FC Magdeburg 2–1 Hertha BSC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
1. FC Magdeburg43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Hertha BSC36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
3.19Expected goals
1.681. FC Magdeburg xG
1.51Hertha BSC xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: 1. FC Magdeburg 1.7 – 1.5 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Magdeburg to win✓
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Magdeburg / FT 1. FC Magdeburg✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
1. FC Magdeburg – last 6
LLWWDL
26 Apr
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ SC Paderborn 07
3–4
L
4 Apr
vs VfL Bochum
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Preußen Münster
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs SV Darmstadt 98
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ SV Elversberg
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
DWWWLL
19 Apr
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
5–2
W
8 Mar
@ Preußen Münster
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ SC Paderborn 07
2–5
L
14 Feb
vs Hannover 96
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Magdeburg and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers 1. FC Magdeburg have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hertha BSC 36%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Magdeburg 2–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC?
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Avnet Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SV Elversberg5
SC Paderborn 071
Preußen Münster3