Value bet: FC Schalke 04 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Paderborn 07 to win ✗40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.99
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 preview and prediction
The match
SC Paderborn 07 host FC Schalke 04 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Form guide
SC Paderborn 07's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat 1. FC Magdeburg 4–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC Schalke 04's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Preußen Münster 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.3 for FC Schalke 04. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: FC Schalke 04 to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 FC Schalke 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Paderborn 0740%fair 2.48 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
FC Schalke 0436%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.75Expected goals
1.43SC Paderborn 07 xG
1.33FC Schalke 04 xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: SC Paderborn 07 1.4 – 1.3 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Paderborn 07 to win✗
40%
2.48
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Paderborn 07 / FT SC Paderborn 07✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
SC Paderborn 07 – last 6
WWDWWD
12 Apr
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
4–3
W
5 Apr
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Hertha BSC
5–2
W
15 Feb
@ VfL Bochum
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
WWWDWW
19 Apr
vs Preußen Münster
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Hannover 96
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Arminia Bielefeld
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Holstein Kiel
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers SC Paderborn 07 have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Schalke 04 36%.
How many goals will there be in SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 1–1 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Bochum2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1
1. FC Nürnberg1
1. FC Magdeburg0