VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
VfL Bochum or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: VfL Bochum to win @ 1.68 – our chance 63% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVfL Bochum to win ✓63% · @1.68
Double chanceVfL Bochum or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10
VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth preview and prediction
The match
SpVgg Greuther Fürth travel to Vonovia Ruhrstadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 26 April (12:30 WAT) to face VfL Bochum. VfL Bochum are 8th with 14 points from 11 games (in the top half), while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
VfL Bochum's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Eintracht Braunschweig 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat SV Darmstadt 98 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for VfL Bochum and 1.0 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: VfL Bochum to win at 1.68 – 63% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was VfL Bochum or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: VfL Bochum 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfL Bochum63%fair 1.58 · @1.68
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.10
SpVgg Greuther Fürth17%fair 5.75 · @4.40
3.17Expected goals
2.15VfL Bochum xG
1.02SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: VfL Bochum 2.1 – 1.0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Bochum to win✓
63%
1.58
1.68 ▲
Double chance
VfL Bochum or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Half-time result
VfL Bochum ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Bochum / FT VfL Bochum✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.10
–
Form
VfL Bochum – last 6
WLLLDD
12 Apr
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
4–1
W
4 Apr
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Holstein Kiel
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6
WLLWWW
19 Apr
vs SV Darmstadt 98
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Karlsruher SC
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs SV Elversberg
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Hannover 96
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Arminia Bielefeld
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What is the prediction for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our pick is VfL Bochum or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
On our numbers VfL Bochum have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our predicted score is VfL Bochum 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SC Paderborn 072
FC Schalke 043