FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Eintracht Frankfurt to win @ 3.15 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✓40% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.71
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees FSV Mainz 05 take on Eintracht Frankfurt on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Mewa Arena. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Eintracht Frankfurt sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FSV Mainz 05's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Sigma Olomouc 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eintracht Frankfurt's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with FC St. Pauli 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.5 for Eintracht Frankfurt. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Eintracht Frankfurt to win at 3.15 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FSV Mainz 0540%fair 2.51 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Eintracht Frankfurt38%fair 2.66 · @3.15
3.08Expected goals
1.57FSV Mainz 05 xG
1.51Eintracht Frankfurt xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 1.6 – 1.5 Eintracht Frankfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Mainz 05 to win✓
40%
2.51
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Mainz 05 / FT FSV Mainz 05✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.71
–
Form
FSV Mainz 05 – last 5
WWDDL
19 Mar
vs Sigma Olomouc
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Werder Bremen
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ Sigma Olomouc
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Hamburger SV
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt – last 3
DWL
8 Mar
@ FC St. Pauli
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs SC Freiburg
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Bayern München
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eintracht Frankfurt 38%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Mewa Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC St. Pauli1