Value bet: Bayer Leverkusen to win @ 2.37 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗50% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen preview and prediction
The match
Union Berlin host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Bayer Leverkusen sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Union Berlin and 1.7 for Bayer Leverkusen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Berlin 28%, draw 22%, Bayer Leverkusen 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Bayer Leverkusen to win at 2.37 – 50% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Union Berlin 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Berlin28%fair 3.59 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Bayer Leverkusen50%fair 1.98 · @2.37
2.91Expected goals
1.20Union Berlin xG
1.71Bayer Leverkusen xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.2 – 1.7 Bayer Leverkusen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
50%
1.98
2.37 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Union Berlin
No recent results on record.
Bayer Leverkusen – last 1
W
18 Feb
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bayer Leverkusen 50%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Wolfsburg2